Air Quality Prediction by an Efficiency-Robustness Tradeoff Adaptive Model: A Study in Macau
Speaker:Prof. K. M. Mok
Dean, Faculty of Science and Technology

Prof. K. V. Yuen
Head, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering

Mr. K. I. Hoi
PhD candidate in Civil Engineering
Date & Time:18 Sep 2008 (Thursday) 10:30 - 12:00
Venue:The Macao Meteorological and Geophysical Bureau
Organized by:The Macao Meteorological and Geophysical Bureau
Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Macau


In this seminar, we will introduce the Kalman filter algorithm and its application to develop the time-varying models for the one-step-ahead prediction of the daily averaged PM10 concentrations in Macau. The models will be compared to the artificial neural network model, which is widely used in the literature. Also, we will introduce the Bayesian approach and its usage to select the optimal model among a set of proposed air quality models.