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Sans-serif;font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight )\">\u5169\u5ea6\u6210\u70ba\u6fb3\u9580\u570b\u969b\u5967\u6797\u5339\u514b\u6578\u5b78\u6bd4\u8cfd\u4ee3\u8868<\/span><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text );font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight )\">\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u962e\u6559\u6388\u4e4b\u7814\u7a76\u5c08\u9577\u5305\u62ec\u8c9d\u8449\u65af\u5206\u6790\ufe51\u96a8\u6a5f\u6027\u91cf\u5316\ufe51\u7cfb\u7d71\u8b58\u5225\ufe51\u7d50\u69cb\u76e3\u6e2c\ufe51\u53ef\u9760\u5ea6\u5206\u6790\u548c\u52d5\u529b\u7cfb\u7d71\u5206\u6790\u3002 \u4ed6\u8207 J.L. Beck \u5408\u8457\u7684 Model selection using response measurements: Bayesian probabilistic approach \u6210\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u571f\u6728\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u5b78\u6703\u5de5\u7a0b\u529b\u5b78\u671f\u520a \u81ea 1983\u5e74 \u5275\u520a\u4ee5\u4f86\u6240\u6709\u8ad6\u6587\u4e2d\u88ab\u5f15\u7528\u6b21\u6578\u9996\u4e8c\u5341\u4f4d \u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u55ae\u4e00\u4f5c\u8005 \u5c08\u8457 Bayesian methods for structural dynamics and civil engineering (\u7531\u570b\u969b\u9802\u7d1a\u51fa\u7248\u793e John Wiley &amp; Sons \u65bc2010\u5e74\u767c\u884c\uff09\u6380\u8d77\u7d50\u69cb\u52d5\u529b\u5b78\u8c9d\u8449\u65af\u65b9\u6cd5\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u71b1\u6f6e\uff0c\u8a72\u66f8\u5df2\u6210\u70ba\u6b64\u7814\u7a76\u7bc4\u7587\u7684\u7d93\u5178\u8b80\u7269\u3002\u962e\u6559\u6388\u4e5f\u64d4\u4efb\u591a\u500b\u9802\u5c16\u5b78\u8853\u671f\u520a\u7684\u7de8\u8f2f\u59d4\u54e1\uff0c\u5982Computer-aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, Structural Control and Health Monitoring, and International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u64daStanford University \u7684Prof. John P.A. Ioannidis \u65bc2025 \u5e74\u8207Elsevier \u767c\u5e03\u7684\u5168\u7403\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u5f15\u7528\u699c\uff0c\u5728\u6240\u6709\u4ee5\u571f\u6728\u5de5\u7a0b\u70ba\u7b2c\u4e00\u9818\u57df\u7684\u5b78\u8005\u4e2d\uff0c\u962e\u6559\u6388\u4f4d\u521758 (\u7d42\u8eab\u699c), 47(\u55ae\u5e74\u699c)\u3002\u53e6\u5916, \u6839\u64daWeb of Science, \u962e\u6559\u6388\u7684\u8c9d\u8449\u65af\u5206\u6790\u5b78\u8853\u671f\u520a\u8ad6\u6587\u7e3d\u91cf\uff0c\u5728\u6240\u6709\u5de5\u7a0b\u9818\u57df\u4e2d\u5168\u7403\u7b2c\u4e8c\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u962e\u5bb6\u69ae\u6559\u6388 (\u52a0\u5dde\u7406\u5de5\u5b78\u9662\u535a\u58eb)\u6fb3\u9580\u5927\u5b78\u571f\u6728\u53ca\u74b0\u5883\u5de5\u7a0b\u5b78&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; \u7279\u8058\u6559\u6388\u667a\u6167\u57ce\u5e02\u7269\u806f\u7db2\u5168\u570b\u91cd\u9ede\u5be6\u9a57\u5ba4&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; \u5b78\u8853\u5e36\u982d\u4eba \u7cb5\u6e2f\u6fb3\u667a\u6167\u57ce\u5e02\u806f\u5408\u5be6\u9a57\u5ba4&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; \u806f\u5e2d\u4e3b\u4efb \u7db2\u9801: http:\/\/www.fst.um.edu.mo\/personal\/kvyuen \u962e\u5bb6\u69ae\uff0c\u571f\u6728\u53ca\u74b0\u5883\u5de5\u7a0b\u5b78\u7279\u8058\u6559\u6388\u3002\u4ed6\u662f\u6559\u80b2\u90e8\u7b2c\u516b\u5c47\u79d1\u6280\u59d4\u571f\u6728\u6c34\u5229\u5efa\u7bc9\u5b78\u90e8\u59d4\u54e1\u3002\u4ed6\u4e5f\u662f\u6fb3\u9580\u4fdd\u5b89\u90e8\u968a\u9ad8\u7b49\u5b78\u6821\u6821\u8463\u6703\u6210\u54e1\uff0c\u6fb3\u9580\u79d1\u5b78\u6280\u8853\u767c\u5c55\u57fa\u91d1\u4fe1\u8a17\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u6210\u54e1\uff0cUMCERT\u516c\u53f8\u8463\u4e8b\uff0c\u6df1\u5733\u5e02\u61c9\u6025\u7ba1\u7406\u79d1\u6280\u4fe1\u606f\u5316\u6c7a\u7b56\u54a8\u8a62\u5c08\u5bb6\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u5c08\u5bb6\u3002 \u6b77\u4efb\u571f\u6728\u53ca\u74b0\u5883\u5de5\u7a0b\u7cfb\u4e3b\u4efb\u3001\u79d1\u6280\u5b78\u9662\u526f\u9662\u9577(\u5b78\u8853)\u3001\u526f\u9662\u9577(\u7814\u7a76\u53ca\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u8ab2\u7a0b)\u3001\u4ee3\u9662\u9577\u3001\u6fb3\u9580\u5927\u5b78\u6559\u52d9\u9577\u3001\u6fb3\u9580\u5927\u5b78\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u9662\u9662\u9577\u3001\u6559\u52d9\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u5c6c\u4e0b\u8cc7\u8a0a\u53ca\u6559\u80b2\u79d1\u6280\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u53ca\u734e\u5b78\u91d1 \u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d\u3001\u6559\u8077\u54e1\u4f4f\u5bbf\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d\u3001\u77e5\u8b58\u7522\u6b0a\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d\u3001\u6fb3\u5927\u5275\u79d1\u516c\u53f8\u884c\u653f\u6a5f\u95dc\u6210\u54e1\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u53ca\u767c\u5c55\u4e8b\u52d9\u8fa6\u516c\u5ba4\u5b78\u8853\u9867\u554f\u3001\u6fb3\u9580\u5927\u5b78\u6821\u8463\u6703\u6210\u54e1\u3002\u4ed6\u66fe\u64d4\u4efb2017\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5c46\u6fb3\u9580\u56db\u6821\u806f\u8003\u767c\u8a00\u4eba\u3002 2002\u5e74\uff0c\u4ed6\u4ee5\u5169\u5e74\u4e03\u500b\u6708\u6642\u9593\u53d6\u5f97\u52a0\u5dde\u7406\u5de5\u5b78\u9662\u571f\u6728\u5de5\u7a0b\u535a\u58eb\u5b78\u4f4d\u30022010\u5e74\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u6fb3\u5927\u9996\u4f4d\u4e09\u5341\u4e94\u6b72\u524d\u6649\u5347\u7684\u6b63\u6559\u6388\u30022012\u5e74\u8d77\uff0c\u4ed6\u7372\u9078\u5217\u5165\u4e2d\u83ef\u4eba\u6c11\u5171\u548c\u570b\u79d1\u6280\u90e8\u570b\u5bb6\u79d1\u6280\u8a08\u5283\u5c08\u5bb6\u5eab\u53ca\u570b\u5bb6\u79d1\u6280\u734e\u52f5\u8a55\u5be9\u5c08\u5bb6\u5eab\u30022018\u5e74\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u6fb3\u5927\u9996\u4f4d\u56db\u5341\u4e94\u6b72\u524d\u6649\u5347\u7684\u7279\u8058\u6559\u6388\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u734e\u9805\u5305\u62ec\uff1a \u5149\u83ef\u5de5\u7a0b\u79d1\u6280\u734e (2024)\ufe51 \u570b\u969b\u83ef\u4eba\u8a08\u7b97\u529b\u5b78\u5b78\u6703\u512a\u79c0\u9752\u5e74\u5b78\u8005\u734e\ufe51\u738b\u5bec\u8aa0\u57fa\u91d1\u6703\u9322\u5049\u9577\u8a08\u5283\u5b78\u8005\ufe51Phi Tau Phi \u5b78\u6703\u6c38\u4e45\u69ae\u8b7d\u6703\u54e1\u53caHousner&#8217;s Fellowship (Housner \u88ab\u516c\u8a8d\u70ba\u5730\u9707\u5de5\u7a0b\u4e4b\u7236 )\u30022014\u5e74\u53ca2020\u5e74\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u4ee5\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b8c\u6210\u4eba\u548c\u55ae\u4e00\u5b8c\u6210\u4eba\u8eab\u4efd\u7372\u5f97\u6fb3\u9580\u7279\u5225\u884c\u653f\u5340\u6280\u8853\u767c\u660e\u734e\u548c\u81ea\u7136\u79d1\u5b78\u734e\u4e8c\u7b49\u734e\ufe51\u5169\u5ea6\u6210\u70ba\u6fb3\u9580\u570b\u969b\u5967\u6797\u5339\u514b\u6578\u5b78\u6bd4\u8cfd\u4ee3\u8868\u3002 \u962e\u6559\u6388\u4e4b\u7814\u7a76\u5c08\u9577\u5305\u62ec\u8c9d\u8449\u65af\u5206\u6790\ufe51\u96a8\u6a5f\u6027\u91cf\u5316\ufe51\u7cfb\u7d71\u8b58\u5225\ufe51\u7d50\u69cb\u76e3\u6e2c\ufe51\u53ef\u9760\u5ea6\u5206\u6790\u548c\u52d5\u529b\u7cfb\u7d71\u5206\u6790\u3002 \u4ed6\u8207 J.L. Beck \u5408\u8457\u7684 Model selection using response measurements: Bayesian probabilistic approach \u6210\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u571f\u6728\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u5b78\u6703\u5de5\u7a0b\u529b\u5b78\u671f\u520a \u81ea 1983\u5e74 \u5275\u520a\u4ee5\u4f86\u6240\u6709\u8ad6\u6587\u4e2d\u88ab\u5f15\u7528\u6b21\u6578\u9996\u4e8c\u5341\u4f4d \u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u55ae\u4e00\u4f5c\u8005 \u5c08\u8457 &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fst.um.edu.mo\/personal\/kvyuen\/introch\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;\u962e\u5bb6\u69ae\u6559\u6388\u4e2d\u6587\u7c21\u6b77&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":0,"parent":927,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"elementor_canvas","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"class_list":["post-2097","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fst.um.edu.mo\/personal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2097","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fst.um.edu.mo\/personal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fst.um.edu.mo\/personal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fst.um.edu.mo\/personal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fst.um.edu.mo\/personal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2097"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/www.fst.um.edu.mo\/personal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2097\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":54113,"href":"https:\/\/www.fst.um.edu.mo\/personal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2097\/revisions\/54113"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fst.um.edu.mo\/personal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/927"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fst.um.edu.mo\/personal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2097"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}